Tag: Featured Articles

Aquaculture: Bringing Climate Resilience to Maine’s Blue Economy

By Hugh Cowperthwaite and Nick Branchina, CEI Maine

Adapting to and combating climate change through aquaculture investment

Hugh Cowperthwaite and Nick Branchina--CEI Maine--Aquaculture Blue EconomyMaine, with nearly 3,400 miles of coastline and over 2,000 coastal islands, is inextricably tied to the sea. The Gulf of Maine has long supplied Mainers with both livelihoods and food but is one of the fastest warming bodies of water on the globe, with the average temperature rising by four degrees Fahrenheit over last four decades1.   

At three and a half times faster than the global average, the change is enough to materially affect people’s dinner plates and paychecks. 

And it’s not just the changing climate: Maine’s working waterfront is seemingly being squeezed on all sides, with high costs for bait and fuel, loss of working waterfront access to development, ongoing uncertainty regarding regulatory demands for ropeless gear, and worries about the impact of offshore wind on already vulnerable fisheries. 

The overall annual impact of Maine’s fisheries (or Maine’s “Blue Economy”) is an estimated $3.2 billion and 33,300 jobs.2 That’s economic input and jobs Maine can’t afford to lose – particularly in Downeast Maine, where the sector accounts for 45% of all direct jobs.3 

For Coastal Enterprises, Inc. (CEI), a community development financial institution (CDFI) based in Brunswick, Maine, investing in aquaculture supports community economic development by diversifying income streams along the rural coastline. It builds climate resilience while helping to ensure that families that have worked Maine’s waters for generations can have opportunities to do so for generations to come, while also welcoming a new crop of sea farmers to the coast. 

This interview took place in July 2023. In this interview, Cameron Barner discusses his path to small business ownership, along with Love Point Oyster’s story and where CEI fits into the picture.

The Small Business: Love Point Oysters 

Try telling a banker that your first crop will take three years to harvest, that their collateral will literally be in or underwater, and sales profitability is several years away. That’s the challenge many oyster farmers face when trying to get startup capital. 

It was one faced by Cameron Barner of Love Point Oysters, when he realized that the company had outgrown their small skiff and would need to purchase an additional boat. “Aquaculture is a risky business, so traditional banks don’t always take you seriously; they have hard lines where they won’t lend.” Barner turned instead to CEI’s Sea Farm Loan. “We didn’t have the capital to go buy a new boat outright, so we reached out to CEI.” 

CEI has over 45 years of experience working with marine-based businesses, with full time fisheries and aquaculture experts providing technical assistance and business advisors who have developed accurate and detailed financial forecasting models for the industry. From experience they understood the risks and potential of these businesses and provide not only a loan, but one designed specifically to meet the needs of Maine’s working waterfront, with a low-interest rate and seasonal payment schedules that help marine businesses thrive and reduce the burden of carrying debt. This kind of tailored product is made possible through long-term, flexible low and no-cost philanthropic and government funding raised by CEI, which then passes along those reduced costs and flexibility to the borrower. 

Working with a community development financial institution has additional benefits beyond access to capital, as CEI was able to connect Barner with a business advisor and sector experts at no-cost. “That relationship was just so positive, we worked with our loan officer and after that we got connected with the Maine Small Business Development Center at CEI. It just really helped us kick start our business into the next phase and thinking about different opportunities.” 

“Oyster is a virtuous protein.” says Barnes. “It’s a creature that gives so much and takes nothing in return. It really has little to no negative impact on the environment and it’s pretty much only positive in terms of water quality. Growing oysters is good.”

Thanks to the investment in equipment, plus advising, Love Point is growing, with goals to increase distribution beyond southern Maine, which is good for business and the environment.

Working Waterfront Access for the Industry: Sea Meadow Marine Foundation

Currently, only 20 miles of Maine’s coast remain as commercial working waterfronts, particularly as residential developments displace traditional uses. Many fishermen and aquaculturists have limited access to vital wharf infrastructure, including tidal access, commercial hoists, forklifts, and room to load and maneuver trucks4 – making it all the harder and more expensive to maintain a business. 

On a statewide basis, the Maine Working Waterfront Access Protection Program provides a channel for preserving working waterfront properties. Established by the Maine legislature in 2005, with significant advocacy from CEI, this bond-funded program allows the state to buy development rights on a piece of working waterfront to ensure future development will not limit commercial marine use. The program has preserved 34 properties to date, but ongoing funding is dependent on passing new bonds every 2-3 years, and the application process is competitive – meaning that while it’s an incredibly important tool, it doesn’t work in all situations. 

Sea Meadow Yarmouth, Jack Sullivan Island Institute, September 2021
The Even Keel Boatyard in Yarmouth, Maine – Jack Sullivan Island Institute, Sept. 2021

The Even Keel Boatyard and Marina in Yarmouth, Maine is a notable exception to the trend of lost access. In 2020, the 12-acre boatyard, with 7 acres of salt marsh and 4 acres of land, went up for sale for $1.26 million. The owners didn’t want to sell to developers, but none of the businesses currently using the boatyard had the funds to make the purchase. Led by local dock builder Chad Strater, a group of marine professionals banded together to form the nonprofit Sea Meadow Marine Foundation, with the goal of preserving the Even Keel boatyard and other working waterfront properties. 

Chad Strater, dock builder and head of Sea Meadow Marine Foundation
Chad Strater, dock builder and head of Sea Meadow Marine Foundation

“The working waterfront is a critical aspect of Maine’s economy and environmental health,” affirms Strater, “It’s part of our economy and part of our lifestyle. If the working waterfront goes away, it’s not coming back.”

Sea Meadow was able to purchase the Even Keel property in December 2021. Again, a combination of government and philanthropic dollars made the enterprise possible, including a U.S. Department of Agriculture Community Facilities loan from Coastal Enterprises Inc. and an operating grant from the Elmina B. Sewall Foundation in Maine. 

Now Sea Meadow Marine, as the property was renamed, host a variety of marine-based businesses including a business hub for early-stage fisheries and sustainable aquaculture businesses alongside marina services, heritage boat builders, and recreational marine organizations, including Love Point Oysters; the US Northeast division of Net Your Problem, a nonprofit that recycles used fishing gear; and the Boatyard, a boat equipment retailer/service provider co-owned by Statler and Sea Meadow’s Board Secretary Nick Planson, that has a goal to help to convert local aquaculture, harvesting and fishing operations to 100% electric power.

Financing a More Resilient Future

Oyster is a virtuous protein says BarnesThe financing packages for Love Point Oysters and Sea Meadow both required funding from impact investors, public, and philanthropic sources to make them workable. Even while motivated entrepreneurs like Barner and Strater look ways to build more resilient and climate-friendly businesses, new equipment, particularly more ocean-friendly equipment like electric engines are expensive and pressure from developers remains high. Fisheries, at their core, are a commodity-based industry, with fluctuating dock prices that make traditional debt at market rates hard to plan for and to bear. Grants combined with low-cost climate-motivated investments from individuals and foundations allow CEI, and other mission-based funders, the ability to make capital accessible and affordable to those entrepreneurs shifting the tide to a more resilient and sustainable working waterfront – a model that is working for Maine and can be replicated in communities along every coast. 

 

Article by Nick Branchina, Director of Fisheries and Aquaculture at CEI; and Hugh Cowperthwaite, Senior Program Director of Fisheries and Aquaculture at CEI


1 Ocean warming is ‘off the charts’ this summer. But not in the Gulf of Maine. Why? | WBUR News
2 FINAL-SEAMaine-Economic-Impact-Analysis-Report-2.pdf
3  ibid
4 WWF-Report_web.pdf (islandinstitute.org) 

Energy & Climate, Featured Articles, Food & Farming, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

The Largest Climate Catastrophe That No One Knows About

By Philippe Cousteau Jr. and Ashlan Cousteau, SeaVoir Wellness

Above: Seal on iceberg photo courtesy of Philippe Cousteau Jr., SeaVoir Wellness

Ashlan and Philippe Cousteau Seavoir WellnessFor three generations, our family has pioneered the protection and restoration of our ocean. Usually, that meant working in education, producing documentaries, or writing books. But over the past decade, we have come to realize that unless society builds financial systems that incentivize positive social and environmental outcomes and the corresponding economic opportunities for people, we will never solve the mounting environmental crisis facing our planet. 

With that in mind, we have expanded our work into entrepreneurship by founding a company called SeaVoir Wellness that is designed to actively restore the ocean and help solve the biggest climate catastrophe that no one knows about.

But we’re getting ahead of ourselves, so let’s start at the beginning. Two years ago, on an unseasonably warm day in Antarctica we jumped into our zodiacs to head out and conduct water quality testing near a glacier. It was the first day of our expedition and though we were warned about the changes we would encounter but we were shocked to see the impacts of climate change all around us. Not only the obvious changes, like retreating glaciers, but also the less obvious ones, like reduced salinity and warm water temperatures. Changes that are wreaking havoc on the Antarctic ecosystem. 

Our trip was part of a multi-year campaign to establish three new marine protected areas (MPAs) in the Southern Ocean. As members of Antarctica 2020, a global group that is tasked with advocating for these MPA’s we were excited to witness the beauty of the white continent with our own eyes and gather media to support the campaign. Covering a total of 7 million square kilometers in the Weddell Sea, the East Antarctic and the Antarctic Peninsula, these three MPAs are some of the richest and most important ocean areas in the world and would result in the single largest act of conservation in human history. 

Specifically, these three areas would focus on protecting key habitats for krill. And while most people have no idea what krill are, from their impact on global climate systems to ocean biodiversity, it is no understatement to say that krill are the superheroes of the ocean.

Weddel Sea - penguins on a large iceberg by Philippe Cousteau Jr
Weddel Sea, penguins on a large iceberg courtesy of Philippe Cousteau Jr.

To put into context just how important they are, we must go back in time a few centuries. Most people believe that humanity’s large-scale disruption of the global carbon cycle started with our utilization of coal and then oil and gas as drivers of economic growth. That is not true. Our disruption of the global carbon cycle happened nearly 200 years earlier, during the late 17th century, when whaling really started to become a major industry in North America. The primary use of whales was for their oil to power lights, though baleen was also prized for being used to make corsets and hoop skirts. For hundreds of years, North American and, to a lesser extent, European and Scandinavian whalers crisscrossed the ocean killing millions of whales. But what does this have to do with the carbon cycle? Whales are an enormous carbon sink; in other words, they absorb and store carbon in their bodies. It is estimated that one whale stores carbon equivalent to 1500 trees in its tissue over its lifetime. When they die, they sink carrying that carbon with them to be sequestered in the deep ocean for millennia. But whales also have an even more important climate role, they are critical to an ecological system that is arguably the single largest carbon sink on Earth, a system that centers around a creature that measures less than two inches in length – krill.  

Krill are tiny crustaceans that live throughout the ocean, but which are most abundant in the Southern Ocean around Antarctica. They are the central characters in the world’s largest carbon cycle, and it all comes down to poop. You see, krill eat phytoplankton, tiny plant-like creatures that live at the surface of the open ocean. Phytoplankton create energy through photosynthesis, and part of that process is (like trees) absorbing carbon out of the atmosphere and emitting oxygen back into it. Side note: phytoplankton are responsible for generating 50 percent of the oxygen on Earth through photosynthesis, which means they absorb carbon and emit oxygen (much more than the rainforest). 

Phytoplankton hold that carbon in their tissue until they are eaten by their main predator, krill. When krill eat phytoplankton, their poop carries that carbon with it as it sinks to the ocean floor. Simple as that…krill inadvertently sequester 13 billion tons of carbon a year in the deep ocean by doing something as natural and fundamental as pooping.

In addition, krill are a key food source for whales, which then sequester the carbon they consume in their bodies for up to 100 years until they die. But it doesn’t stop there; whale poop (who would have thought it all came down to poop?) is rich in iron. That iron, in turn, is a critical compound needed by the phytoplankton to grow, and the process keeps going on and on. 

So, when whalers killed millions of whales, scientists initially assumed krill populations would explode. As our understanding of the systems became more sophisticated and our use of ice, coral, and sediment cores became more widespread, scientists discovered that the decline in whale populations also corresponded with a crash in krill and phytoplankton populations. Deprived of iron-rich feces to nurture them, phytoplankton populations crashed, reducing their function as carbon sequestering machines (remember, they sequester billions of tons of carbon a year). Then, without enough phytoplankton, krill populations crashed, which in turn hurt not just whale populations but all the other creatures like penguins, seals, and countless fish populations as well. Almost everything in the Southern Ocean either eats krill or eats something that eats krill. So, in addition to disrupting the global carbon cycle centuries before most people think, humanity started destroying the ocean food web on a large scale a lot sooner too. 

Ardley Island, Chinstrap and Gentoo walking by Philippe Cousteau Jr
Ardley Island, Chinstrap and Gentoo walking courtesy of Philippe Cousteau Jr.

That’s where the three MPA’s come in. They are being proposed in areas which are critically important habitats for not only krill but many other species, from adélie and chinstrap penguins that get almost all of their calories from krill; to crabeater seals, fur seals, gentoo penguins, and whales, like humpback and fin whales whose populations are recovering after centuries of exploitation. Large, protected areas that lack the stressors that come from industrial fishing are more resilient to the effects of climate change, which is critical in the face of rapid environmental changes in Antarctica.  

So, establishing three areas to protect a species central to the functioning of the world’s largest single carbon sink, the biodiversity of the ocean and oxygen production would seem like a no-brainer. However, progress towards establishing those protected areas has been stymied precisely BECAUSE of the presence of krill. Far from protecting them, over the last few decades a new threat has emerged: the krill fishery. Of the 26 countries that make up the governing body of Antarctica’s waters CAMLRR, 24 countries support the establishment of the MPA’s. Only Russia and China are blocking them, and they are doing it for the krill fishery. But why fish for krill? It doesn’t make sense. Why would humans target a creature that is so pivotal to the world’s single largest carbon sink (the equivalent of taking 23 internal combustion cars off the road each year), is critical to the generation of over 50 percent of the earth’s oxygen, and provides the basis for one of the ocean’s most important food webs? 

When we asked that question, the answer shocked us. 

70 percent of the market value of the krill fishery is for the Omega-3 supplement market in North America (with the leftover going to pet food and aquaculture feed). Another source of Omega-3’s – fish oil – is also terribly destructive to the ocean. 

SeaVoir Wellness--Pridcut

We realized that this was a classic case of the market incentivizing bad behavior. Thanks to the inertia of fish oil becoming shorthand for Omega-3s over decades, aggressive greenwashing by fish and krill oil companies, and a lack of efforts to raise consumer awareness about the issue, the fish and krill industry has become a multi-billion dollar market. And the kicker is that fish and krill don’t even make their own Omega-3s; they get them by eating algae! Over the past few years, technology to extract Omega-3’s from algae has matured and is at price parity with krill and fish oil. The problem is that consumers don’t know. What is even more interesting is that algae oil is a superior Omega-3. It’s more bioavailable to our bodies than fish or krill, it is free of the common toxins found in the ocean (heavy metals, PCBs, microplastics, and more), it is farmed on land creating clean, local jobs, and it won’t give you the dreaded fish burps! 

Governments around the world are investing billions to advance technologies to sequester carbon that up until now have returned very little success. Yet, at the same time we are ignoring and even degrading the systems which ALREADY sequester billions of tons of carbon. 

As storytellers for the ocean, we realized that we had to take action. So, we founded SeaVoir Wellness and our first product is algae-based Omega-3s designed to provide a better alternative to krill or fish oil. Too often the solution to environmental problems is to stop buying, stop consuming etc. But for people who want the benefits of Omega 3s that isn’t an option. SeaVoir is a way for us to advance a conservation agenda AND provide people with a better product. Going forward, our company is dedicated to building not a sustainable brand, but a restorative brand and driving market solutions to the dual crisis of climate change and biodiversity collapse while helping people improve their health and wellness. 

Just by switching your daily Omega-3 away from fish or krill, and to the primary source of algae, you can make a positive difference in the ocean. Every. Single. Day. 

SeaVoir is one example of how a company can build a restorative Blue Economy that benefits people and the planet and in the case of Omega 3s, safeguards Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. 

As Philippe’s grandfather Jacques once said about Antarctica, “may the last continent explored by man, be the first continent not plundered by man.” 

 

Article by Ashlan Cousteau and Philippe Cousteau Jr, Co-Founders of Seavoir Wellness

Follow us at https://www.instagram.com/seavoir.wellness

Energy & Climate, Featured Articles, Food & Farming, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

How Sustainable Ocean Funds Are Navigating Impact Measurement

By Ted Janulis, Helena Janulis and Aly Rose, Investable Oceans and CREO Syndicate

Interviews and surveys from leading fund managers shed light on current approaches, common challenges and thoughts on the future.  

Ted Janulis - Helena Janulis - Aly RoseBlue economy funds have experienced dramatic growth in the past half decade, with nearly thirty new entrants – ten or so of them in 2022 alone. This is good news, as it signals both growing investor interest in the sector and an increasing pipeline of investable opportunities. As this ocean investment ecosystem evolves, the question of how to measure impact in investments has become a frequent topic of discussion. 

To explore this impact question further, Investable Oceans and CREO conducted interviews and surveyed over a dozen leading sustainable ocean funds from 10 countries. We supplemented these interactions with reviews of available online resources, including websites and impact reports. We selected funds that already had significant capital under management and are currently investing. The funds collectively captured a diversity of ocean verticals, though notably, 13 out of 14 address Pollution & Waste Management (Figure I). 

Figure 1 - What ocean verticals does your fund focus on
Figure I.

The discussions were candid and fascinating, and the surveys allowed for additional quantitative analysis. One clear takeaway: all of the funds we spoke with are actively developing strategies – often mapped to SDG 14 – in order to measure and understand impact in ocean investing. Still, there is a strong consensus that much work lays ahead. In this piece, we present our key learnings as well as insights directly from some of the fund managers. 

Common Trends 

Fund managers agree that impact measurement for sustainable ocean funds is in the early stages of development. Interestingly, half of the survey respondents rate its current state of development at a 6 or 7 out of 10, while the other half rate it at a 3, 4 or 5 out of 10 (Figure II). While impact measurement – and the blue fund/economy space itself – is relatively new, there is great energy, interest and momentum pushing this work forward. 

“It took a while for the impact measurement in the blue fund space to get started because of limited investors and track record of investments, limited ocean data and a broad array of investable areas. But in the past few years, with much more investor activity in this space and a focus on carbon reduction it seems to really be taking off. Now we just need more tools to measure biodiversity.” Amy Novogratz, Co-Founder & Managing Partner, Aqua-Spark 

Fig-2 How would you rate the current state of impact measurement in the sustainable ocean fund space
Figure II.

We learned there is a diversity in approaches to developing impact measurement strategies, but many combine and build upon existing frameworks and standards to create a proprietary impact measurement strategy. Despite high variability among the frameworks used, survey responses indicate a majority of the funds are using the Ocean Impact Navigator (OIN) and UNEP FI as core tools (Figure III). Several also supplement their strategies with tools including IRIS+, GRI and SDG Compass. 

Fig-3 Which of the following frameworks informed your impact measure strategy
Figure III.

The OIN serves as a foundation for numerous funds, given its flexible design and specific focus on blue economy challenges. While some managers believe improvements can be made, such as adding biodiversity metrics, they also acknowledge that this is the first time we are seeing a truly collaborative effort. 

“SWEN Blue Ocean is an Article 9 fund according to the European SFDR regulation, which means 100% of our investments should have impact indicators. We welcome the Ocean Impact Navigator, a set of science-based indicators developed by 1000 Ocean Startups. It provides a shared framework that the ocean innovation community can leverage to accelerate collective impact.” – Christian Lim, Co-Managing Director, SWEN Blue Ocean 

A majority of managers also work closely with their portfolio companies to identify impact reporting metrics. Several emphasize the importance of constructive conversations with these companies around metric selection in order to gain a clear understanding of the impact that can be achieved. However, there are differing perspectives among fund managers on the appropriate number of impact metrics; some define 1-5 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for each portfolio company, while others reach up to 20 or even 40 KPIs. 

“To get the right metrics you’ve got to go deep into the company’s specific operational pathways. You need to identify the things that generate convergent returns – economic and environmental. It doesn’t work from the top down – it has to be inside out.” – George Duffield, Founding Partner, Ocean 14 Capital 

vibrant red orange sea fan coral and school of fish

As fund managers are working through this process, some are embracing an iterative approach… 

“We see every investment as an opportunity to learn about what works – and what doesn’t – when it comes to pursuing near- and long-term outcomes. Toward this end, we work with our partners to articulate the intended impact of their products or services, identify the indicators they use to measure progress toward that impact, and the methods and sources they use to collect indicator data. By asking partners to select impact indicators that will bring the most value to them, we aim to reinforce the link between impact measurement and management and strategy, wherein data is used as an input to critical business decisions.” – Joanna Cohen, Head of Impact Measurement & Management, Builders Vision 

sea tortoise under a wave

To supplement this internal work, some funds engage third-party organizations and impact agencies to help develop frameworks and identify reporting metrics. Among these are consulting firms and NGOs with a deep knowledge of the ocean, such as The Nature Conservancy and the Aquaculture Stewardship Council. A few funds have even created formal advisory groups of internal and external experts across diverse disciplines. 

“One of the things that has really been a great help to us from the very beginning is joining The Circulate Initiative’s Impact Metrics Working Group. This group was formed to bring together researchers, experts, advocates and practitioners with different content knowledge relevant to our work – it’s an incredible group. Circulate Capital was able to use the working group as a sounding board for our impact framework – testing our metrics, methodologies, baselines – to really guide how we measure the impact of our investments. Their feedback and guidance has given us the confidence that we’re on the right track.” – Ellen Martin, Chief Impact Officer, Circulate Capital 

dolphin school under the surface

We also found that the motivations behind developing strategies vary among funds, especially when considering factors such as regulatory compliance, demand from LPs and ties between carry and impact performance. Even though some funds are mandated by regulations and compliance rules, our conversations indicate that personal belief is what primarily drives efforts to create and maintain strategies. This underscores the unique dedication of fund managers to look for investments where sustainable outcomes generate competitive financial returns.

Shared Challenges 

The complexity of the ocean biosphere makes measuring impact difficult; desired data may be unavailable or costly to collect. According to our survey, half of the fund managers struggle with developing impact measurement metrics due to the lack of measurable data. With few exceptions, portfolio companies oversee their own data collection. Several funds have expressed the challenge of selecting the appropriate quantitative metrics for each company to effectively showcase progress toward fund-level goals. This issue has led to a gap between the individuals who require data, such as GPs and LPs, and those who are responsible for collecting it. 

While efforts like the OIN are attempting to standardize metrics for sustainable ocean funds, each individual fund still maintains its own unique set of metrics. This can create confusion for startups receiving investments from multiple ocean funds and raises the question: How would implementing a standardized menu of metrics and conversion rate affect the sector’s ability to assess the dollar value of these investments? Measuring a startup’s output indicators or return on investment is easy but translating the data into a quantifiable “return on impact” is much more challenging. Establishing a standard for determining the actual cost of factors, such as a kilogram of plastic in the ocean or fertilizer leakage, could include the expenses of cleaning up or savings generated by preventing such occurrences. 

“It is imperative that startups and funders align on a standard framework to measure and report positive ocean impact outcomes. Standardized ocean impact metrics will allow us all to address these ocean challenges more efficiently. While it may be challenging to create a standard impact framework, it’s achievable if we start by first working with startups to understand the type of raw impact data they can collect, and then build a framework grounded in science that prominent funders can use to align reporting requirements for their portfolios.” – Craig Dudenhoeffer, Chief Impact Officer & Investments Officer, Sustainable Ocean Alliance 

skiff at sunset above coral bed

Although funds recognize the value of standardizing frameworks, impact measurement poses different challenges depending on the specific verticals within the blue economy. Funds have found it easier to measure impact in investments related to ocean-related energy solutions, while it is more difficult in aquaculture, fisheries, and ocean intelligence/data solutions. Ocean CDR and ecosystem restoration fall somewhere in-between. Some frameworks suggest using qualitative metrics in the more challenging sectors, but there is concern about the credibility of such metrics. 

“Faber’s fund strategically covers blue biotech, food & feed, decarbonization of shipping, ocean intelligence, desalination, and ocean-related energy. From an impact management perspective, some areas are more straightforward than others. In general, enabling technologies with a direct positive impact on CO2 emissions, such as clean energy, have metrics easier to measure and monitor. Others, like blue biotech, with an impact on complex industrial value chains, or ocean intelligence, with an indirect impact on biodiversity, can be more challenging. Access to data is key.” – Rita Sousa, Partner at Faber Ocean/Climate Tech Fund

While funds are clearly investing time and effort to develop proprietary strategies, numerous managers expressed a genuine interest in harmonizing approaches. The alignment of funds on impact measurement has the potential to facilitate the flow of much needed capital to accelerate the transition to a sustainable blue economy.

 

Still shoreline with clouds

 

Article by Ted Janulis and Helena Janulis of Investable Oceans and Aly Rose of CREO Syndicate

Ted Janulis is Founder & Principal at Investable Oceans, an ocean investment hub that accelerates market-based sustainable ocean investing across all asset classes and sectors of the Blue Economy. Over a 35+ year business career, Ted has served in various executive positions, including CEO, at financial institutions involved in Capital Markets, Banking and Asset Management. He is President Emeritus of The Explorers Club in New York City and serves on numerous for-profit and not-for-profit boards, including Gannett Co Inc, Ocean Risk and Resilience Action Alliance (ORRAA), One Ocean Foundation and Duke University’s Nicholas School of the Environment Board of Visitors.

Aly Rose is Sector Manager of Oceans & Aquaculture at CREO Syndicate, a 501(c)3 think-and-do tank working with a network of ultra-high-net-worth family offices leveraging private capital to invest in climate solutions providing a more sustainable future. Prior to her role at CREO, Aly worked at SeaAhead, where she helped manage the Blue Angels Investment Group, served on the working group for 1000 Ocean Coalition’s Ocean Impact Navigator, and helped incorporate IMM strategies for startups into SeaAhead’s BlueSwell Incubator curriculum. Aly holds a bachelor’s degree in Comparative Policy, Environmental Studies, and Spanish from Bowdoin College, a Master’s Degree in Spanish Linguistics from Middlebury College, and a Master’s Degree in Climate Change and Sustainability Policy from Northeastern University. 

Helena Janulis is the Business Development & Special Projects lead at Investable Oceans, and the COP28 Ocean Pavilion Associate Project Manager at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. She holds an Environmental Master’s Degree from the University of Colorado Boulder, a bachelor’s degree in marine science from the University of Hawai’i Hilo, and a Project Management Certificate from Cornell University. Prior to her work in ocean finance, Helena was a consultant for Outside Magazine, a B Corp Certification consultant for a tempeh company in Boulder, and a Divemaster in Hawai’i. She is a long-term member of The Explorers Club in New York City and the Committee Chair for the Club’s Rising Explorers Grant. 

Energy & Climate, Featured Articles, Food & Farming, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

Investing in Resilience & Access: The Global Microgrid Energy Landscape

By David Breecker, Microgrid Systems Laboratory

PV array located at Northern New Mexico Community College that will be utilized in our Resilient El Rito community microgrid project with Kit Carson Electric Cooperative. (Photo credit: Kit Carson Electric Cooperative) 

 

David Breecker - Microgrid Systems LaboratoryPrivate investment capital at scale will be necessary to achieve our global energy goals and to avert catastrophic climate change, while also meeting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and achieving universal access to clean energy. Microgrids (or mini-grids, as they are known in the developing world) are one essential component of this energy transition.

According to the U.S. Department of Energy, “A microgrid is a network of distributed energy resources and loads that can disconnect and re-connect to the larger utility grid as a single entity, allowing the connected loads to be served during utility outages. Microgrids can also be found in remote locations where they may not be connected to a larger grid.”

These small-scale integrated energy systems are becoming an increasingly common feature of the renewable energy landscape. They offer a high degree of resilience to utility outages caused by extreme weather events, aging assets, or cyber- and physical attacks on grid infrastructure, by disconnecting (or “islanding”) from the bulk grid and operating autonomously; and they present an opportunity to move more aggressively to 100 percent renewable energy right now. They are also considered to represent as much as 40 percent of the solution to energy poverty challenges worldwide, affecting over 2 billion people with inadequate access. 

Other Potential Benefits of Microgrids

Microgrids, when connected to the bulk power grid (“grid-tied”) can also reduce regular utility per-kilowatt hour charges, avoid “peak demand charges,” profit from “energy arbitrage” (i.e., export surplus energy to the grid when prices are high, recharge the microgrid’s energy storage system when prices are low), and offer upstream “grid services” (e.g., frequency regulation, voltage support, capacity reserves, demand flexibility) which can yield revenue under certain regulatory regimes. They can also reduce utility capital expenditures by deferring or avoiding transmission and distribution system upgrades (“non-wires alternatives”) to address capacity constraints; and they are also being used to reduce wildfire risks by allowing utilities to de-energize (or in some cases, completely eliminate) high-voltage lines that can cause a fire. By helping to address the energy access challenge in remote rural areas (primarily in Africa and South Asia), renewable microgrids can replace (or preempt) the use of small petrol generators while enabling improved small business, agriculture, health and education applications.

Types of Microgrids & Use Cases

In the industrialized world, several main categories of microgrids represent distinct technical, performance and financial factors: 

  • Military bases: the U.S. Department of Defense is working to ensure a very high degree of resilience at all installations 
  • Commercial & Industrial: Commercial and university campuses, manufacturing plants, and even retail operations are increasingly deploying microgrids to advance their emissions reductions, achieve operational economies and reduce financial losses due to utility outages 
  • Utility microgrids: Utilities are beginning to enter the business of providing resilient renewable microgrids to meet customer demand; and are also utilizing them to sustain power during “Public Safety Power Shutoffs” used to prevent wildfires and to defer costly infrastructure upgrades 
  • Community resilience: Communities are acting to ensure continuous performance of all critical facilities and services via microgrids, through either utility or third-party microgrid partnerships 
  • Energy Sovereignty: Tribal entities are beginning to deploy microgrids as one important solution to achieving true “energy sovereignty” in their electric service 
  • Remote: Remote microgrids serve extremely rural communities (as well as mining and industrial locations) that have no grid access, most frequently in Africa and Asia, Alaska communities and some in Latin America 
  • Residential: Finally, home solar + storage systems (especially when combined with integrated electric vehicles and chargers) can easily comprise a small-scale resilience microgrid
Microgrid PV Array Electrical Box - Kit Carson Electric CoOp
Microgrid PV Array Electrical Box; photo credit: Kit Carson Electric Cooperative

The U.S. Microgrid Investment Landscape

Third-party microgrid investment opportunities on a project basis are somewhat limited in the industrialized world. Many of the major electrical systems engineering companies offer “microgrid-as-a-service” propositions with no capital expense for the customer, based on a power purchase agreement; these include Schneider Electric, with investment from the Carlisle Group, in AlphaStruxure (for very large projects) and with Huck Capital (mid-size C&I projects); Siemens Industry; and S&C Electric. Another, Enchanted Rock, installs microgrids on retail commercial premises so as to utilize them under blue-sky (i.e., normal operating) conditions to deliver services to the grid. In some cases, utilities have been approved to “rate-base” the cost of a microgrid (i.e., pass the cost through to its entire customer base). Compass Energy Platform works with communities to develop resilience microgrids, leveraging their partnership with InfraRed Capital Partners and other project collaborators.

The investment opportunity is somewhat complicated by the fact that resilience remains the primary motivation for building a microgrid, but apart from commercial operations (which can accurately assess the operational cost of losing power), it is difficult to quantify and monetize the value of resilience as an element of ROI. That said, several credible efforts are underway to establish a uniform basis for calculating the value of resilience, and microgrids of all types are projected to experience significant growth in the near term, especially with extreme weather events and cyber- and physical terrorism threats to the grid and the urgency of decarbonization.

A recent National Renewable Energy Laboratory report cited estimates of the global microgrid market ranging from $23 billion to $39 billion, with double-digit annual growth expected.

There may well be opportunities for specialized third-party funds in this space as microgrids (and their business and finance models) evolve and accelerate. As a point of reference, the American Green Bank Consortium, launched by the Coalition for Green Capital, has reportedly considered microgrids as appropriate investment opportunities within its energy portfolio.

The Investment Landscape in Developing Economies

A strikingly different picture emerges in the developing economies, where energy access, affordability, and reliability are the main challenges and capital is severely constrained. As measured by the World Bank Multi-Tier Framework, approximately 25 percent of the world’s population (over 2 billion people) suffers from some form of energy poverty or lack of access. As one example, in its report “Mini Grids for Half a Billion People” (focused on microgrids for access in Africa), the World Bank estimates that universal access will require more than 217,000 minigrids by 2030, at a cost of $127 billion, providing 430 million people with first-time access ($105 billion) and 60 million people with improved access ($22 billion). India presents comparable challenges, and additional under-served populations exist throughout South Asia, Alaska (where there is no “main grid” and microgrids serve all communities), parts of rural North America including Native American communities, Latin America, and the Caribbean Islands (highly vulnerable to extreme weather). Affordable and reliable access to renewable energy (U.N. Sustainable Development Goal #7) is a prerequisite for economic, agricultural, and commercial development, known as “productive use of energy”; as well as health, education, and community development.

There must be continued innovation in technology, policy, regulations, and other factors in order to meet this need; but several hundred minigrids are already in operation, and a basic model exists. The main obstacle appears to be sufficient risk mitigation so as to enable commercial project-based debt financing to flow at scale, on the order of 10 to 100 times current levels. To date, the primary sources of investment funds have been concessionary (a mix of philanthropic grants, international aid, subsidized loan rates) and some equity capital in mini-grid development companies. The Microgrid Systems Laboratory is exploring the feasibility of a “green bank” focused on energy access in Africa, and welcomes inquiries. 

 

Article by David Breecker, President, Microgrid Systems Laboratory. The Microgrid Systems Laboratory is a non-profit collaborative innovation lab, working to accelerate the transition to a more sustainable, resilient, and equitable energy system worldwide in the programmatic areas of research, innovation, demonstration, and education. MSL is the winner of the Silver Award in the Smart Grid pillar of the 2022 Energy Smart Communities Initiative Best Practices Awards Program, given by the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC).

Energy & Climate, Featured Articles, Sustainable Business

Public Equity Investing in Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency

By Paul Hilton, Trillium Asset Management

Trillium’s Sustainable Opportunities thematic public equity strategy aims to address global sustainability challenges in three core areas: climate solutions, economic inclusion, and healthy living. While many of Trillium’s equity strategies have exposure to renewable energy, the Sustainable Opportunities strategy has a more specific, thematic focus, and generally a greater level of exposure to companies benefiting from the shift to a more sustainable economy. Within climate solutions, a primary focus is renewable energy and energy conservation, particularly exposure to companies involved in:

• Electrification and Grid Modernization, including storage
• Energy Efficiency
• Geothermal
• Renewable Energy Financing
• Solar Energy
• Wind Energy

In our view, climate change is the top existential issue facing the planet. Long-term impacts from climate change are well documented by the IPCC, and include more extreme weather events including heatwaves, droughts, and floods. These impacts will lead to food and water insecurity as well as public health and biodiversity threats. According to the World Health Organization between 2030 and 2050 climate change is expected to cause approximately 250,000 additional deaths per year, including from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea, and heat stress.1

But we believe climate change also represents an investment opportunity, given the level of investment required to meet global goals such as the 1.5 degree C global warming target of the Paris Agreement in 2015. For example, the International Renewable Energy Agency estimates that meeting global energy transformation goals will require an additional $47 trillion in cumulative investment from 2023-2050, plus roughly $1 trillion in annual investment in fossil fuel technologies redirected towards energy transition solutions. This would result in annual investments in energy transition technologies more than quadrupling from current levels to meet the 1.5 degree C pathway.2

In addition, we are seeing greater public policy support for energy alternatives, including the Inflation Reduction Act in the U.S. which will provide $370 billion for climate technologies and clean energy through a mix of tax credits, grants, loans, and rebates. Further support from the U.S. CHIPS Act of 2022 and Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 will also provide incentives for the transition, in areas such as EV chips and EV charging infrastructure respectively. Similar policy initiatives in China, the EU, the UK, and Australia, among other parts of the world, are also helping to support the transition to a clean energy future. The response to the Russia invasion of Ukraine, for example, has accelerated the shift to fossil fuel alternatives in Europe through immediate and robust policy efforts.

Despite this investment and policy backdrop, the last two years have been problematic for the performance of many renewable energy stocks. Concerns about rising interest rates globally have put pressure on smaller cap, growth-oriented stocks, particularly those that are pre-profit. Some clean-tech focused companies had a boost in share price with the announcement of the Inflation Reduction Act, but most are significantly lower than just a few years ago. While many of these companies may have strong long-term prospects, there is no doubt that the short-term may be volatile. Our belief is that the recent pull-back is an excellent buying opportunity, and that investors with a longer-term time horizon will be rewarded. That said, we look to identify companies with well-developed business strategies, proven management, strong balance sheets, and enough scale to compete and ultimately take share.

This article does not attempt to touch on the incredible work on climate change in other asset classes beyond public equities. For a helpful discussion of total portfolio activation as it relates to community-oriented climate solutions, see the following paper from Croatan Institute: Climate-Related Investment for Resilient Communities – Croatan Institute

Advocacy

Some public equity strategies will also engage companies through shareholder advocacy to push them on a variety of issues related to climate change and renewable energy. Trillium has long sought to invest in companies proactively addressing climate change, and also to advocate with companies through dialogue and shareholder proposals to encourage them to reduce their climate impact. Mitigating the devastating potential effects of climate change on people and planet depends on companies setting and meeting robust, independently verified, science-aligned greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets – and a crucial component of reduction goals for many companies is the purchase of renewable energy.

Trillium has asked companies to consider purchasing renewable energy since as early as 2003, and since then has secured commitments to set renewable energy goals from companies including Home Depot, Akamai, and 3M, among others. In recent years, we have focused on overall emissions reduction goals that include scope 2 emissions, withdrawing proposals at a variety of companies, including Darling Ingredients and SBA Communications, following their commitments to set targets via the Science-Based Targets Initiative (SBTi), a non-profit which verifies company goals to ensure alignment with 1.5 C degrees of warming, in-line with our own Net Zero commitment. A proposal asking UPS to do the same received 20.4% of the shareholder vote this year.

Overview of GHG Protocol scopes and emissions across the value chain-EPA
Infographic of the Greenhouse Gas Protocol (GHG) scopes and emissions across the value chain – from the Corporate Value Chain (Scope 3) Accounting and Reporting Standard 

Renewable Energy Company Examples:

(not all companies are held in the Sustainable Opportunities strategy) 

Chargepoint – Founded in 2007, ChargePoint is one of the largest independently owned EV charging networks in the world, serving commercial, residential, and fleet clients. ChargePoint uses an asset light model that allows it to scale quickly through sales to partners, including schools, companies, municipalities, and building owners.  

EDPR – The renewable subsidiary of utility company Energias de Portugal, the company is a global leader in renewable energy development and production, with a portfolio including onshore and offshore wind, solar, energy storage and hydrogen production, operating in North and South America, Europe, and Asia. 

First Solar – First Solar is the leading domestic U.S. solar photovoltaic panel manufacturer. The company’s thin film technology provides cost and thermal benefits to utility-scale solar projects. First Solar is expanding production in the U.S. to take advantage of IRA program tax incentives.

HASI – Formerly known as Hannon Armstrong, renewable energy financing company HASI provides financing to enable projects that deliver positive environmental impacts through providing clean energy, developing sustainable infrastructure, and increasing energy efficiency. 

Ormat – Ormat is a global leader in building and operating large scale geothermal energy plants, with proprietary binary technology that is more efficient and sustainable, reinjecting 100% of the geothermal fluid.

Ultimately, many companies providing the solutions to the climate crises will be beneficiaries of the shift away from fossil fuels and towards renewable energy, electrification, and efficiency focused technologies 

 

Article by Paul Hilton, CFA, Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst at Trillium Asset Management, covering the Consumer Discretionary sector and is the lead Manager for the Sustainable Opportunities strategy. He is also a member of the portfolio management team for the Green Century Balanced Fund, for which Trillium serves as a sub-advisor. Prior to joining Trillium in 2011, he was Vice President of Sustainable Investment Business Strategy at Calvert Investments and also previously held senior positions within Calvert’s Equities and Marketing Departments.

Paul also served as Portfolio Manager for Socially Responsible Investing at The Dreyfus Corporation, then a division of Mellon Bank, and as a Research Analyst in the Social Awareness Investment (SAI) program at Smith Barney Asset Management, then a division of Citigroup. Paul started his career as an Analyst with the Council on Economic Priorities, a non-profit known for an influential consumer guidebook called “Shopping for a Better World.” 

Paul is former Board Chair of US SIF, former Treasurer of the United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP-FI), and founder of the Social Investment Research Analysts Network (SIRAN), the first U.S. network of sustainability analysts. He is a member of CFA Society Boston and a Chartered Financial Analyst, and holds Master’s degrees in Anthropology from New York University and Education from Roberts Wesleyan College. Paul is a frequent speaker on topics related to approaches to SRI/ESG investing and the growing market for products in this space.

Important Disclosure Information

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned. It should not be assumed that investments in such securities have been or will be profitable. The specific securities were selected on an objective basis and do not represent all the securities purchased, sold, or recommended for advisory clients. Information and opinions expressed are those of the author and may not reflect the opinions of other investment teams within Trillium Asset Management. Information is current as of the date appearing in this material only and subject to change without notice. This material may include estimates, outlooks, projections, and other forward-looking statements. There is no assurance that impact or investment objectives will be achieved. Due to a variety of factors, actual events may differ significantly from those presented.

Footnotes:

  1. IPCC_AR6_WGII_SummaryForPolicymakers.pdf
  2. World Energy Transitions Outlook 2023: 1.5°C Pathway; Preview (azureedge.net)

Energy & Climate, Featured Articles, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

Navigating the Investment Impact from the EPA’s Evolving Carbon Rules

By Dr. Pooja Khosla and Thomas H. Stoner Jr., Entelligent

Hamburg, Germany photo by Kevin Kandlbinder, Unsplash

Unraveling the implications for energy assets in shaping investment portfolios is vital.

vFor investors concerned about climate change risk, the issue of which stocks to buy, hold and sell can be quite complicated. The power sector representing the largest consumer of carbon fuels is highly regulated. When plants are decommissioned, rates are typically raised to cover the cost of investment in replacement plants and equipment. Investors must understand the risks to a company that might end up with a stranded asset. When there is adequate cost recovery, it represents a cost to users, but it’s often a benefit to shareholders. The tension for regulators is striking the right balance.

More deeply, data that measures climate risk – and penetrates sector-level analysis to security-level analysis – can be vital for investors who want exposure to the power sector while minimizing transition risk to a lower-carbon future.

Before we review what this data reveals about sectors and stocks, consider the consequences of regulation. Regulation, after all, is crucial for addressing climate change. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency rules can accelerate the transition to cleaner energy sources and encourage the adoption of technologies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make net zero goals real.

On the other hand, there’s concern that excessive regulation creates an unnecessary bureaucratic burden, diverting resources from innovation, infrastructure development and energy security. That last factor is the most important for a nation’s economic stability, as well as its defense, geopolitical influence, environmental sustainability and resilience.

It is also argued that stringent EPA regulations can impose excessive financial burdens on power plants, leading to higher costs for electricity generation. This may impact the affordability of energy and harm certain sectors of the economy. In addition are the concerns that strict regulations place U.S. companies at a disadvantage.

Companies will need to reevaluate their priorities to align with proposed government standards. They may need to emphasize investments in control technologies, such as carbon capture and storage, or low-GHG hydrogen co-firing, to meet emissions reduction requirements. This could result in a shift away from fossil-fuel-based infrastructure toward more sustainable technologies.

Compliance would require companies to make investments in retrofitting power plants or constructing facilities with the necessary control technologies, or ones that provide a variable power source, which could cause financial strain. The proposed standards introduce regulatory and policy risks and may accelerate the renewable transition. Regulations may promote and even incentivize companies in certain regions to invest in renewable projects, energy storage and low-carbon technologies. Such regulations can dramatically alter the power sector’s business model, exposing it to new risks.

These scenarios suggest asset managers should consider several factors when building portfolios. The bar of caution is high and the need for adequate actionable data to validate investment decisions is greater than ever. Monitoring technology adoption and innovation, staying current on the regulatory landscape and assessing companies’ renewable energy transitions are essential. By considering these factors, investors can best navigate the impact of proposed EPA standards and make informed choices.

EPA regulations and company-level case studies. The regulations aim to reduce emissions, meaning companies operating in the power generation and fossil-fuel sectors face greater scrutiny and potential challenges in meeting standards. According to forward-looking Entelligent E-Scores, including T-Risk, that consider such policy responses, we find energy companies such as EQT Corp. more pressured by regulation relative to APA Corp. and Phillips 66, per Q2 ’23 estimates. (EQT is focused on natural gas production, APA on energy infrastructure and Phillips on refining and marketing.)

APA and Phillips are more diversified compared to EQT, which could provide a cushion. Consider the relative riskiness: Natural gas companies may be riskier than oil companies in the transition to a fossil-fuel-free energy mix. The shift toward renewables and decarbonization are expected to decrease the demand for natural gas, a fossil fuel. On the other hand, oil companies are facing similar challenges, but the extensive demand due to market pressures will likely decline more gradually. This means the short-term risk for natural gas companies may be higher, but both types of companies will likely face long-term challenges as the world moves toward a more sustainable energy mix.

The Entelligent E-Score model uses security price return forecasts and information coefficient from correlations with energy sources including coal, oil, gas, renewables, etc. The investment return forecasts for multiple scenarios are updated quarterly for three scenarios: Minimum, Maximum and Business as Usual. The updates account for 10 socioeconomic conditions. With situations such as the war in Ukraine, the model captures upward (favorable) energy profitability (return) shocks and estimates the future forecast by evaluating how a carbon tax or subsidies for renewables could impact the profitability or returns of companies up to two years out. In situations like these due to market conditions, diversification and relatively less short-term risk, it is very possible that E-Score rankings are favorable for the energy sector, particularly energy companies like APA and Phillips.

Entelligent’s T-Risk scores, integrating scenario analysis and carbon adjustment, helps to identify risks and opportunities in companies most ready for diversifying energy sources.

Consider these findings:

PG&E Corp. (Screened In): Considered more carbon intensive due to its historical reliance on natural gas and coal. However, PG&E has been actively incorporating renewable energy and reducing emissions to meet the tight regulatory environment in California. According to T-Risk, this company is relatively better prepared.

Atmos Energy Corp. (Screened In): Natural gas companies like Atmos are cleaner than coal and oil, but still reliant on fossil fuels. They have advantages in climate transitions, such as being a “bridge fuel” firm and by investing in carbon capture.

APA Corp. (Screened Out): As an oil-and-gas exploration-and-production company, APA faces significant transition risk. Its reliance on fossil-fuel reserves makes it vulnerable to potential asset devaluation in a carbon-constrained future. Carbon-intensive operations expose it to regulatory and market risks. Due to nonbinding regulations and high fossil-fuel dependency, APA is screened out from the portfolio for the current quarter.

Phillips 66 (Screened Out): Engaged in refining, marketing and distribution, with significant operations in Texas, California and Oklahoma. Texas and Oklahoma are far behind in formalizing climate-related regulatory frameworks. This company is also screened out of the portfolio to hedge climate transition risk.

Thus far in 2023, coal and oil prices have tumbled. T-Risk carbon-adjusted screening helps to hedge against energy demand and price disruptions. It is likely that the companies less exposed to these two fossil fuels – due to the nature of their business (Atmos) or regulations and green incentives from states (PG&E) – are outperforming, as shown in the graphic below.

2023 1st Half Returns - PG&E - APA - Phillips 66 - Atmos Energy - Google Finance

Consider T-Risk screening of prominent energy companies Baker Hughes Co. (screened in), TotalEnergies SE (screened out) and Equinor ASA (screened out). Baker Hughes is regarded as potentially less risky than TotalEnergies and Equinor in terms of energy transition and security issues in global markets, including the EU, amid several factors.

Baker Hughes is less risky due to diversification, reduced fossil-fuel exposure and adaptability to renewable energy. It can serve both traditional and renewable sectors, reducing reliance on declining fossil fuels. By not being as involved in oil-and-gas exploration and production compared to TotalEnergies and Equinor, Baker Hughes is less exposed to energy-related geopolitical disruptions and energy security issues.

While TotalEnergies and Equinor are actively diversifying into renewables, which could position them favorably in the EU’s transition to a low-carbon economy, in the T-Risk two-year forecast Baker Hughes’ focus on oilfield services may provide a degree of insulation from energy security and transition issues. Six-month return projections show the T-Risk Carbon Adjusted metric benefited with hedging by screening in Baker Hughes to the benchmark portfolio and screening out riskier companies such as TotalEnergies and Equinor.

2023 1st Half Returns - Baker Hughes - TotalEnergies SE - Equinor ASA - Google Finance

In conclusion, when new emission reporting standards were introduced, it created expectations that reporting would greatly improve, leading to the creation of more comparable and measurable information for the markets. If you are a believer in efficient market hypothesis, as we are, then when investment information gets better, decisions on building portfolios get better. In this case, that likely means better performance for two vital metrics: sustainability and investment returns.

 

Article by Dr. Pooja Khosla, CIO and Thomas H. Stoner Jr., CEO, Entelligent 

Pooja Khosla, Ph.D., is Chief Innovation Officer at Entelligent. She is an economist, econometrician, mathematician, and thought leader in the sustainability and climate finance space and has deep knowledge of building sustainable investing solutions. Dr. Khosla earned a Ph.D. in economics and has master’s degrees in four disciplines. 

Thomas H. Stoner Jr. is CEO of Entelligent and one of the company’s co-founders. Mr. Stoner has co-founded three cleantech and renewable energy companies and served as CEO of two publicly traded companies. He received a master’s degree in finance and accounting from the London School of Economics.

Energy & Climate, Featured Articles, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

Clean Energy Investment and Innovation Trends: Navigating the Road Ahead

By Ron Pernick, Clean Edge, Inc

(See more information about the above 10-year performance chart below)

 

Ron Pernick of Clean Edge IncAs someone who has been researching clean-tech sectors for more than two decades and conducting stock index research since 2006, I find it exciting to be tracking the mass adoption and scale-up progress of a range of clean technologies, from solar power and energy storage to electric vehicles and transmission infrastructure.

Numerous factors are driving the shift from fossil fuels to clean energy, but two stand out: low-cost renewables (utility-scale solar and onshore wind are now the most price-competitive forms of new electricity capacity additions in most regions) and supportive energy and climate policies (with China’s Five-Year Plans, the U.S.’s Inflation Reduction Act, and Europe’s REPowerEU initiative leading the way). Clean energy has been scaling significantly for the past decade, but recent developments are driving a new wave of investments and deployment.

Some Key Facts and Figures:

  • Energy transition investments globally hit $1.1 trillion in 2022, breaking the $1 trillion mark for the first time, according to BloombergNEF. And a projected $1.7 trillion will be investing globally in clean energy in 2023, significantly more than the approximately $1 trillion expected to flow into fossil fuels, according to International Energy Agency.
  • Onshore wind and solar are not only the cheapest forms of new power capacity additions globally, but the fastest to deploy. New nuclear, on the other hand, is currently both the most expensive and slowest to deploy.
  • Power markets are reaching a tipping point, with most new additions globally coming from solar and wind. A record 83 percent of all new electricity capacity additions came from renewables last year, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA).
  • All these new installations are having a significant impact. By 2025, more than a third of all global electricity production will come from renewables, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA), surpassing all generation from coal. Globally, solar and wind already outpace generation from nuclear power.
  • Eleven states now garner at least 30 percent of their in-state generation from solar and wind. Iowa and South Dakota, the two leaders, generated more than half their electricity from renewables, mainly wind power, in 2022. Iowa surpassed 60 percent for the first time, a new record in the U.S. In California, solar (utility-scale and distributed) contributed 27.3 percent of the state’s total in-state generation; solar now competes with wind as a major generation source in an increasing number of regions.
  • As governments and consumers look to wean themselves off Russian natural gas in the wake of Russia’s attack on Ukraine, sales of heat pumps have skyrocketed in Europe, with nearly 3 million units sold in 2022, up around 40 percent from sales in 2021.
  • Electric vehicle sales worldwide are projected to increase 35 percent this year, up from approximately 10 million sold in 2022 to 14 million in 2023, according to the IEA. If these projections hold, EV sales will equal approximately 18 percent of total car sales this year, up from just 4 percent three years ago.

There are many other examples of the shift to clean tech – all shining a light on the massive transition that is underway.

7-Point Energy Transition Action Plan

We estimate that the world is approximately halfway through the modern energy transition (2000—2050). Targeted technology, policy, and capital innovations must be deployed at scale and overcome a host of challenges to meet this monumental shift. Indeed, the transition will be bumpy and face several not-so-insignificant headwinds. These include inflationary pressures, material supply constraints and shortages, and incumbent industry misinformation campaigns and pushback. The following, is Clean Edge’s 7-Point Energy Transition Action Plan, which highlights some of the key steps and actions we believe are needed to ensure orderly and sustained progress: 

1) Focus on Efficiency – Pursue energy efficiency’s low-hanging fruit for the most bang-for-your-buck, including LEDs, insulation materials, building controls, and energy management systems. 

2) Scale Up Wind & Solar Massively – Support aggressive global deployment of solar and wind power, utility-scale and distributed, to reach 100 percent zero-carbon emission electric grids. 

3) Pair Renewables with Storage at Scale – Deploy storage at scale to enable 100 percent, 24/7 renewable power. Focus on both utility-scale and distributed storage, using electrochemical batteries (lithium-ion, solid-state, flow, etc.) and mechanical energy storage (pumped hydro, compressed air, etc.). 

4) Electrify Heating & Vehicles ASAP – Although we often hear the demand to “electrify everything,” we recommend focusing on two high-impact areas: passenger vehicles (two-, three-, and four-wheelers) and heating and cooling systems for homes and buildings (via adoption of electric heat pumps.) 

5) Modernize Transmission & Distribution Grids – Build out a range of electricity grid modernization efforts including digitization, smart meters and devices, bi-directional meters and charging, smart substations, and high-voltage, direct-current transmission lines. A modern 21st century grid is critical to enable the clean-energy transition. 

6) Develop Green Hydrogen, Ammonia, and Fuels for Agriculture, Heavy Industry, and Long-Haul Transport – Decarbonizing heavy industry will not be easy and will require green fuels above and beyond electrification. We recommend the adoption of green hydrogen and fuels to support the production of steel, fertilizer, and other energy-intensive industries, as well as for long-haul transport such as trucking, marine shipping, and air travel. 

7) Secure Sustainably Mined and Recycled Materials – Ensure the availability of mined and recycled materials for EV, solar, wind, and other clean-energy technology production. The future of energy depends on secure and reliable supplies of sustainably mined or recycled materials (lithium, cobalt, rare earths, silicon, nickel, etc.) rather than the extraction of fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas).

For renewable energy analysts and market participants, the promise of technology-driven renewable energy sources over fossil fuels has become increasingly clear. Extractive energy sources, by their very nature as commodities, exhibit price volatility when pitted against maturing tech-centric clean energy sectors – with their inherent cost-reducing learning curves. But while solar and wind are now among the most cost-effective sources of new electricity capacity additions, we’ll need to see similar cost reductions for EVs, energy storage, alternative conductive materials, electrolyzers, and other electrification technologies over the coming decade. We’ll also need to see cost declines for the grid integration of these technologies (connecting an offshore wind farm to the grid, for example, and getting the electricity to nearby and/or distant customers) – and for deployment obstacles to be removed or streamlined. Achieving the energy transition won’t be easy, but over time it promises lower costs, limited or zero emissions, and if done right, greatly diminished geopolitical volatility.  

Clean Energy VS Traditional Energy 10-year Performance from CleanEdge

Article by Ron Pernick, cofounder and managing director of Clean Edge, Inc., where he oversees the development and production of the firm’s thematic research tracking clean energy, transportation, water, and the grid. The company is a joint developer of and contributor to the Nasdaq Clean Edge Green Energy™ Index (CELS™), launched in partnership with Nasdaq in 2006. Other indexes include the Nasdaq OMX Clean Edge Smart Grid Infrastructure™ Index (QGRD™), ISE Clean Edge Water™ Index (HHO™), and the ISE Clean Edge Global Wind Energy™ Index (GWE™). All tracking financial products of Nasdaq Clean Edge indexes exceeded $4 billion in assets under management as of June 23, 2023. 

Under his leadership, Clean Edge has been at the forefront of researching technology, capital, and policy innovations driving the energy transition and sustainable infrastructure markets for more than two decades. He is the co-author of two books on clean-tech business and innovation, Clean Tech Nation (HarperCollins, 2012) and The Clean Tech Revolution (HarperCollins, 2007), which was translated into six languages and sold more than 30,000 copies worldwide. He has taught MBA-level courses at Portland State University and New College and is a regular speaker at industry events.

Energy & Climate, Featured Articles, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

The Untapped Climate Opportunity in Alternative Proteins

By Sagar Tandon, Beyond Animal

Sagar Tandon Beyond AnimalClimate change is one of the biggest threats facing our planet today. With greenhouse gas emissions continuing to rise, it is imperative that we find innovative solutions to reduce emissions and mitigate the impacts of climate change. One promising solution is the development of alternative proteins, which could offer a significant and untapped opportunity for climate financing.

Alternative proteins, which include plant-based proteins, cultured meat, and fermentation-based have the potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from animal agriculture drastically. Animal agriculture is responsible for a significant portion of global greenhouse gas emissions, with estimates ranging from 14.5% to 51% of all emissions. By developing alternative proteins, we could significantly reduce these emissions and help to mitigate the impacts of climate change.

The numbers speak for themselves. According to a report from RethinkX [1], a think tank focused on technology-driven disruption, alternative proteins could capture up to 10% of the global meat market by 2035. This shift would result in a reduction of up to 2.4 gigatons of greenhouse gas emissions annually, equivalent to taking 527 million cars off the road. Furthermore, the report suggests that this shift could save up to $1.4 trillion in environmental costs by 2050.

Biodiversity and Animal Agriculture

The animal agriculture industry significantly impacts biodiversity, which refers to the variety of living organisms and ecosystems on Earth. A recent paper published in Nature[2] mentions if we continue the same level of meat production and consumption, then 17,000 species are under threat of extinction.

Here are some key ways animal agriculture affects biodiversity:

1) Habitat loss and fragmentation: The expansion of animal agriculture often leads to converting natural ecosystems, such as forests and grasslands, into agricultural land. This results in the destruction of habitats for many plant and animal species, which can lead to their decline or extinction. Fragmentation of habitats can also occur when natural ecosystems are broken into smaller patches, reducing genetic diversity and increasing vulnerability to environmental stressors.

2) Soil degradation: Animal agriculture significantly contributes to soil degradation, negatively impacting plant and animal species that depend on healthy soils for survival. Soil degradation can lead to reduced soil fertility, erosion, and desertification, which can result in the loss of habitat for many species.

3) Water pollution: Animal agriculture is a significant source of water pollution, mainly through the runoff of excess nutrients and antibiotics from animal waste. This can lead to the degradation of aquatic ecosystems and the loss of aquatic species.

4) Introduction of invasive species: The transportation of livestock and their feed across borders can lead to the introduction of invasive species that can compete with native species for resources and disrupt ecosystems.

5) Climate change: Animal agriculture significantly contributes to greenhouse gas emissions, which contribute to climate change. Climate change can significantly impact biodiversity, including changes in temperature and precipitation patterns that can negatively impact the survival of many species.

Cattle ranching is the most significant cause of deforestation in the Amazon, accounting for around 80% of the destruction.[3] This activity is primarily driven by the global demand for meat, leading to the clearing of vast areas of land to make space for cattle ranching. In Brazil, cattle ranching has been the leading cause of deforestation since at least the 1970s, with government figures attributing 38% of deforestation from 1966-1975 to large-scale cattle ranching. Today, the figure is closer to 70%.[4] 

Alternative Proteins as a Climate Financing Opportunity

These numbers highlight the significant potential of alternative proteins as a climate financing opportunity. By investing in developing and scaling alternative proteins, we could reduce greenhouse gas emissions, create economic opportunities, and contribute to sustainable development.

In addition to the environmental benefits, alternative proteins offer other potential advantages. Plant-based proteins, for example, can be produced with significantly less land, water, and other resources than traditional animal agriculture. This can help to reduce pressure on natural resources and promote more sustainable food production. Cultured meat, meanwhile, could offer a more humane and sustainable alternative to traditional meat production, potentially reducing animal suffering and improving animal welfare.

Additionally, over 60% of all emerging infectious diseases worldwide have zoonotic origin.[5] Livestock production is one of the most significant contributors to the spread of zoonotic diseases.

In the BCG report, Food for Thought: The Protein Transformation,[6] the environmental impact of alternative meat and dairy is compared with animal-derived meat.

Investment in plant-basded meat delivers biggest emissions cuts -- Guardian

  • The shift to alternative beef, pork, chicken, and egg alternatives will save more than 1 gigaton (Gt) of CO2e by 2035—or about 0.85 Gt CO2e in 2030. This is equal to decarbonizing most aviation or shipping industries, or about 22% of the building industry. The following graph clearly shows how much investment in plant-based meat reduces emissions compared to other sectors.[7]
  • Producing animal alternatives emits 30% to 90% fewer GHGs than conventional meat, fish, dairy, and egg production. 
  • Cultured meat requires up to 78% less water than beef, and plant-based meat requires 99 percent less water than conventional meat.

We need to shift the narrative around food and sustainability. This means emphasizing the positive benefits of alternative proteins, including their potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and reduce/eliminate animal suffering, while also acknowledging the challenges and limitations of these technologies.

Investment Gap

According to the BCG report, Food for Thought: The Protein Transformation:

  • Almost 30 million tons of bioreactor capacity for microorganisms and animal cells will also be needed in the base case, requiring up to $30 billion in investment capital.
  • The extrusion capacity needed for plant-based proteins will require up to $28 billion in investment.

Just alone in APAC (Asia-Pacific), according to a report published by the PwC, Rabobank, and Temasek[8] – $750 billion in additional funding is needed by 2030 to meet the rising protein demands.

In conclusion, alternative proteins offer a significant and untapped climate financing opportunity. By investing in developing and scaling these technologies, we can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the impacts of climate change but also create economic opportunities and contribute to sustainable development. To fully realize the potential of alternative proteins, we need to address the challenges and limitations of these technologies and shift the narrative around food and sustainability toward a more positive and inclusive vision of the future.

 

Important reference links:

Dawn of the Climavores
https://www.kearney.com/consumer-retail/article/-/insights/dawn-of-the-climavores

Food systems account for more than one-third of global greenhouse gas emissions
https://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/1379373/icode/

Climate-friendly foods: are alternative proteins the way forward?
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/07/protein-diet-vegan-climate-food-system-decarbonization

Food system impacts on biodiversity loss
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2021/02/food-system-impacts-biodiversity-loss

The way we eat could lead to habitat loss for 17,000 species by 2050
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22287498/meat-wildlife-biodiversity-species-plantbased

Factory farms are an ideal breeding ground for the next pandemic
https://www.vox.com/2020/10/21/21363990/factory-farms-next-swine-influenza-pandemic

 
Article by Sagar Tandon, Partner at Beyond Impact.

Sagar was involved in setting up 2 funds – Gray Matters Capital, edLABS & Australian Govt. DFAT backed impact fund. Led investments in 18 early-stage ventures. Mentor at Good Food Institute India & APAC, Founders Institute Food APAC and Fashion for Good, Netherlands.

 

[3] Amazon Deforestation: Why Is the Rainforest Being Destroyed?, by Rachel Graham

Additional Articles, Featured Articles, Food & Farming, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

Climate Risks Threaten Investor Appetite for Intensive Livestock Production

By Sofía De La Parra, FAIRR Initiative

Sophia De La Parra - FAIRR InitiativeAt first glance, investment in the meat and dairy industry looks attractive. Global meat consumption is expected to grow over the next decade to a projected increase of 14% by 2030, according to the FAO. The changing global climate, however, poses significant risks and opportunities not just to this growth trajectory, but to the fundamentals of the industry.

From the rising price of feed to desertification of grazing lands and increasing regulation to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from livestock production, climate-related risks require an extra layer of analysis for asset allocation in the sector and present opportunities for transformative change in the decades ahead.

The Paradox of the Animal Protein Sector: Both a driver of climate change, and at risk from it

Readers of GreenMoney Journal are probably well-aware of the climate and environmental impacts of the animal agriculture sector. For instance, it releases more GHG emissions than every car on the planet combined, and the UN Food and Agriculture Organization has estimated that 14.5% of all global anthropogenic GHG emissions come from livestock production. The animal agriculture sector uses 30% of the planet’s freshwater resources and continues to be the largest driver of deforestation. It also has a large part to play in the ‘silent pandemic’ of antimicrobial resistance (AMR).

What is less well reported however, and of increasing concern to financial institutions, is that the meat and dairy industry not just contributes to climate change, but is uniquely vulnerable to its effects.

A warming world, for example, means increasing heat stress on cattle. Animals that experience heat stress may have lower productivity given reduced fertility, liveweight gain and milk yield as well as immune system problems that make them more susceptible to certain diseases. Climate change increases the probability of extremes, and these fat tails have real world impacts, as we witnessed last summer when the death of thousands of cows was reported after a weekend with extreme climate conditions.

FAIRR research on material climate-related costs shows potential increases between 4-35% by 2030 and 3-53% by 2050, relative to 2020, for livestock companies based in North America, with the largest cost driver being higher animal feed prices. Thus, damaging the profitability of many meat and dairy companies, as well as those suppliers and clients that rely on them if costs are passed on.

With many of its assets operating in already water stressed areas, the livestock industry is vulnerable to decreasing freshwater quality. The sector must manage this risk alongside those it faces from increasing AMR, carbon prices and action to reduce global methane emissions.

Investors are increasingly aware of, and acting on, these risks. It is why the FAIRR Initiative, which is focused on helping investors understand risks and opportunities related to intensive livestock production, has become one of the world’s fastest growing investor networks with supporters managing over $70 trillion of assets under management (AUM) joining the network since 2016.

Pricing in Climate Risk

Data and research conducted by FAIRR supports investors in assessing systemic risks that might negatively affect the returns of their portfolios in the long run. According to FAIRR’s Climate Risk Tool, a group of 40 of the largest livestock producers face an estimated $23.7bn total decrease in earnings in 2030 compared to 2020 due to climate factors in a ‘business as usual’ scenario – based on assumptions including that the world is on track to reach 2C of warming by 2100, and that consumption of meat and dairy continues in line with current trends as the population grows to 9.2 billion in 2050. Potential hits to profits are driven largely by an increase in climate-related costs that include higher feed prices and more expected carbon taxes on emissions from livestock production.

Regulatory Risk

One of the biggest concerns for investors is that far too few meat and dairy companies are monitoring and reporting on these risks adequately. For example, by aligning the reporting to the Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) framework which is now mandatory in locations such as the UK and New Zealand.

FAIRR’s research of 60 of the largest meat, fish and dairy firms shows 70% of the world’s largest meat, fish and dairy companies assessed since 2019 still do not disclose any animal-farming or feed-farming GHG emissions. This lack of carbon footprint disclosure can significantly impact the financial performance of companies given upcoming climate regulation by exposing them to litigation and reputational risk, as well as the prospect of increased carbon taxes. For example, by 2025 New Zealand plans to introduce an agricultural emissions pricing mechanism, which as FAIRR’s research found can impact the country’s livestock farmers through cost increases, higher debt, and potential curbs on production.

Preserving Long-term Value

Climate risk is becoming an increasingly material issue and it is crucial that investors and companies act now or risk losing out in the future. Livestock companies are both exposed to climate risk and are exacerbating climate challenges, impacting investors’ returns. However, only six out of 40 of the largest meat and dairy companies assessed have conducted climate risk scenario analysis. A relevant exercise that the TCFD recommends is to develop strategic corporate plans that are more flexible or robust to a range of plausible future states and help them take advantage of the opportunities and adequately manage risks.

Investors expect returns to reflect the risk held. This means companies that fail to manage risks or miss opportunities related to climate change will likely have financial impacts, such as an increased cost of capital.

What are Investors Doing About it? 

These figures highlight the urgent need for meat and dairy companies and their investors to mitigate the clear risk to the bottom line. This includes exploring decarbonization strategies, such as diversifying sources of proteins towards those that have lower environmental impacts and reducing the carbon footprint of livestock. Investors are also asking companies to share their action plans around the implementation of clean food technologies, improved farming practices and adoption of innovative solutions.

For example, a group of investors has engaged with 23 leading food manufacturers and retailers, including firms like Walmart, Conagra and Kroger, to encourage them to reduce their reliance on animal-derived products and increase exposure to more sustainable proteins (e.g., plant-based proteins). Companies are still navigating the challenges of reaching scale and reducing costs, yet alternative proteins have a key role to play, especially in the mid and long term, as the alternative protein market is forecast to grow 13%-35% by 2030 and 9%-14% by 2050 in relation to its size in 2020 in developed countries.

As a result of our engagement, eight out of 23 global food companies now have targets to increase the volume and sales of meat and dairy alternatives and/or reduce brand-level emissions. 100% of the companies in the engagement are now investing in the development of plant-based products.

Investors are also engaging to reduce the industry’s emissions. FAIRR’s Global Investor Engagement on Meat Sourcing is supported by an $11 trillion investor coalition and focused on six leading fast-food companies with a combined cap of more than $281 billion, including the likes of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Domino’s Pizza and McDonalds. The investors urged companies to de-risk their meat and dairy supply chains by setting ambitious targets to reduce GHG emissions as well as reduce water consumption.

As of June last year, all six of the fast-food companies have now publicly set, or have committed to set, science-based targets approved by the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi). Chipotle has gone one step further by committing to reducing Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions by 50% by 2030.

Sectorial scenario analysis and company-specific data is essential for investors to make more informed investment decisions. Such data allows deeper conversations between investors and companies which can use that dialogue to develop more sustainable practices that not only mitigate climate risks, but also enhance long-term profitability and create value for all stakeholders involved.

Ultimately, collaborative engagements, supported by data, provide a powerful platform for investors to achieve their goals. And, despite the complexities of the challenge, a well-managed transition within intensive livestock production is necessary to address climate risks that are already impacting the bottom line.

 

Article by Sofía De La Parra, Investor Outreach Manager at the FAIRR Initiative. She is responsible for strengthening and expanding FAIRR’s investor network. Sofía leads FAIRR’s outreach work in the United States and collaborates on outreach in other global markets. She works closely with investor members to integrate material ESG issues and develop sustainable food systems as a key priority. 

Prior to this, Sofia led the Sustainable Proteins collaborative engagement, which targeted 23 food companies and had 84 investor signatories with $23bn AUM. Before joining FAIRR in March 2021, she led the project finance venture at Naked Energy Ltd, a clean-tech start-up. Sofía also worked as a Rating Analyst at S&P Global, following Latin American companies across different industries, including retail, consumer products and building materials. 

Sofía holds an MSc (Distinction) in Climate Change, Management and Finance from Imperial College London and a first-class BA in International Business Management from Universidad Iberoamericana Ciudad de Mexico. She also holds a CFA certificate in ESG Investing.

Additional Articles, Featured Articles, Food & Farming, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

Three Trends Driving the Growth of Organic Agriculture

By Craig Wichner, Farmland LP

Craig Wichner of Farmland LP-2023Blueberries at Burns Farms, Planting Phase 2

It was a breakout year for organic agriculture in 2022. Consumer demand for organic food continued its steady rise, with strong prices for producers, rising land values and excellent returns for investors.

Beyond these results, three significant trends were sharply apparent last year that will continue to affect not only organic farming but the entire agriculture sector – rising consumer demand for healthy food, the fragility of the conventional farming system and investor interest in sustainable farmland practices.

Organic’s Strong Market Fundamentals

The organic market is enjoying strong momentum. Demand is growing because consumers increasingly recognize the benefits of pesticide-free healthy organic food. They also see that conventional chemical-based farming and food production are increasingly industrialized and commoditized, harming the environment and producing unhealthy, pesticide-laden food.

Today, organic food is a $56 billion market and represents 6% of all U.S. food sales. Demand is growing at 13% annually and is constrained by a lack of supply, since organic cropland is only 1.2% of all farmable acreage in the U.S. and is growing by just 7% yearly. The result is a 50-200 percent price premium for organic produce.

Those strong fundamentals were reflected in our business, too. Farmland LP marked its 14th year in operation in 2022, and we have demonstrated over that time that organic farming is profitable at scale. Today, we manage more than 16,000 acres, valued at $250 million, and 40 crops are grown on our farms. By converting conventional farmland to organic, we have increased rents from $300/acre to $750/acre. We have also increased revenue per-acre up to ten times by converting from commodity crops to higher value and permanent crops.

Conventional Farming is Vulnerable

Last year, the organic sector was able to avoid many of the pitfalls that disrupted traditional agriculture. The war in Ukraine was a colossal blow to conventional chemical-based farming because it sparked a price jump in natural gas, a key input for the fertilizer on which it depends. Fertilizer costs for conventional farmers reached record levels in 2022 and accounted for 36 percent of a farmer’s operating costs for corn and 35 percent for wheat, according to the USDA[1].

Meanwhile, the cost for compost, the main fertilizer for organic acreage, was up only marginally.

It’s not just the impact of the Ukraine war that showed how fragile conventional farming is today. Climate change is also affecting costs and output. Climate change is expected to produce rainstorms of higher frequency and severity, with potentially devastating effects on farming. Heavy rains late in the growing season in the Midwest impact the drying period needed for corn production and are a stark illustration of these risks.

Very few farms – and certainly almost no industrial-scale producers – are adapting their management methods to the realities of climate change.

By contrast, we invest with climate change in mind. We use computer modeling and satellite mapping to identify farms that are well placed to withstand climate shocks. Once we add them to our portfolio, we convert the acres from environmentally damaging, chemical-dependent commodity crops to an organic and regenerative system that can be productive, profitable and resilient as climate change advances.

Overcoming the Barriers to Organic Production

There are significant barriers to converting farmland to organic. It starts with the way farmland is owned. Approximately 40% of US cropland is owned by absentee landlords. Many received it generations ago during the Homestead Acts, but now their descendants live in cities and no longer farm directly. Most of this land is farmed by tenant commodity farmers who farm one or two crops, usually corn and soybeans. Expertise is another barrier, as owners and tenants often lack the knowledge on how to transition to and farm organic crops.

But perhaps the most significant barrier is economic. It takes three years to convert land to Certified Organic and at least five years for value-added permanent crops to reach full production. Absentee owners would have lower rental income during this transition period, as would tenant farmers. And the tenant farmers also would not benefit from the increase in land values once the organic conversion is completed.

(There are also deeply entrenched federal policies that subsidize industrial farming and impede the growth of organic, but that is topic for another time.)

We have overcome these barriers through our operating expertise, market knowledge and, most importantly, our capital structure, which enables us to make the multi-year investment in organic conversion.

Let’s look at an example. We acquired Burns Farm, a 4,000-acre farm in northern California, in 2013. It had been farming the same three crops for 50 years, rotating them about every five years. It had no organic acres or permanent crops.

Today, after completing the conversion process, 80% of the farmable acreage is Certified Organic and grows a dozen permanent and row crops, from organic blueberries, green beans and squash to olives and almonds. Revenue per organic acre is up more than 2x to $800/acre today, and the appraised value of the farm has increased 3.0X since we acquired it.

Investors Want Sustainable Farmland Investments

Finally, the past year has seen a dramatic rise among investors for sustainable farming opportunities as they seek to align their capital allocation with their values.

Sustainability is at the heart of our strategy, and we do not compromise on returns. Indeed, many of our 1,000+ investors participate in our funds because of our sustainable farming practices and favorable financial performance. They understand that best-in-class soil health and farmland management practices drive both financial returns and ESG benefits.

And, unlike most other farmland managers, we can document our environmental improvements. In a USDA study[2], our first farmland investment fund demonstrated $21.4 million in net ecosystem benefits using regenerative farm management practices at scale. There is economic value in clean water, diverse pollinator habitats and healthy soils.

We advise investors – both individuals and institutions – to watch for managers that make marketing claims about sustainability. Empty rhetoric and greenwashing have spread into farmland investing like an outbreak of ragweed. Any farming standard that supports chemical-based monocropping cannot be considered “sustainable,” no matter how appealing its branding might be.

Our practices have made Farmland LP the highest-rated company globally for corporate sustainability, according to HIP Investor, a leading independent sustainability ratings service. Our 82.0 rating (of a possible 100) places Farmland LP as #1 in HIP Investor’s worldwide corporate universe of 10,000 corporations, as well as at the top of the agricultural real estate investment trust (REIT) category, the closest comparable peer group.

In the year ahead, we expect capital to continue to flow into the sector as more investors recognize the benefits of farmland investing. Managers that can demonstrate their positive impact on the environment and a track record of favorable returns will be best positioned to attract investor capital – and help drive the growth of a more sustainable food system.

 

Article by Craig Wichner is CEO of Farmland LP, the largest manager focused on organic and regenerative farmland in the US, with 16,000 acres in Washington, Oregon and Northern California valued at $250 million.

Additional Articles, Featured Articles, Food & Farming, Impact Investing, Sustainable Business

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